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Category:Video editing softwarePolitics: The Democrats have lost the moral high ground. The GOP is now the party of children.
So that’s pretty much what we have right now.
From the Washington Post:
The world is still on fire. The U.S. economy is still struggling. And Donald Trump is the president of the United States.
And the Democrats are losing the presidency.
In a new memo, the Party’s data guru predicted a “grim” year for the blue team. It may be the beginning of the end.
The memo was authored by Michael McDonald, who runs a political-data firm called the New York-based American Data LLC. He sent it to more than 200 top Democratic operatives this week, according to two Democratic operatives who were shown a copy and spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe private discussions.
You can read the whole thing here.
What McDonald and his team have been working on is pretty telling.
McDonald spent more than a year focusing on the battlegrounds of Ohio, Michigan, Florida and Wisconsin, where Trump prevailed in 2016. He examined the demographics of these states — and concluded that Democrats would have to defy demographic headwinds and make dramatic inroads among white college-educated women, minorities and millennials to win.
The bad news for Democrats: Those voters aren’t a huge part of the electorate, but they’re making up a growing share of it.
In addition, McDonald noted, Trump is an extremely effective campaigner. And if Trump gets the sort of organizational advantage that Republicans enjoyed in 2016, that advantage will continue to grow.
It all adds up to a picture of a 2018 midterm election in which Democrats will have a hard time winning the House, if they even make the gains they need to win it. The memo cites a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, which found that Democrats only won 40 percent of college-educated white women, leaving them in a tough spot.
“They are going to be boxed in,” said Jennifer Duffy, who analyzes House races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. “The reality is, at this point, they aren’t going to win the majority of college-educated white women, and that be359ba680
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